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Timing is everything. You've heard it a million times. It's a worn-out, over-used cliche that happens to be true. No matter what you're up against, timing is everything. If you're a futures or stock trader, timing is the only thing between you and the poor house. It's a statistical certainty that if you play a zero-sum game with unlimited downside risk long enough, you will lose everything you own. The number of traders that don't understand or ignore that fact astounds me. If the above is news to you, then wake up and smell the coffee my friend, because you might very well be a train wreck waiting to happen. Timing is not just simply buying low and selling high. It's not just jumping on or off at the most opportune moment. The most important element of timing is to understand and cope with the duration of your trade. That is, the time-frame in which your trade matures and develops. System traders using technical or fundamental indicators analyze data looking for entry and exit signals. Once an entry signal has been acted upon and a trade entered, one generally waits for an exit signal. Only three things can happen to a trade at this point:
- It flat-lines and price goes nowhere;
- Price increases and we have a paper-profit; or
- Price decreases and we have a paper-loss.