THE,SHADOW,THE,ALCHEMIST,THOMA finance, share, loan THE SHADOW


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THE ALCHEMIST by AL THOMAS THE SHADOW The Shadow knows. There used to be a radioprogram called The Shadow where the hero, LamontCranston, the Shadow, would overcome the shadowyforces of doom by clouding the vision of thosearound him. “Who knows what evil lurks in thehearts of men” was their intro line. They weregreat shows and you can still find them on theInternet. The stock market is kind of like the shadow. Asyou walk along with the sun at your back you casta shadow. No matter which way you move the shadowstays ahead. Fast, slow, right, left. It doesn’tmake any difference. An equity market is the shadow of the economystaying out in front following every twist andturn. Depending upon the height of the sun theshadow may be long or short. You can see it eitheras a long term or short term prediction of thepassage. If you did not know what a shadow was you wouldnot realize it is telling you something aboutwhere you are going. If you see the shadow fallacross a hole you know you must step over oraround it depending upon its width and depth. Thepath of our economy is predicted by the directionof the stock market. When things are good andeveryone is making money the shadow seems to go upand when the economy slows (for whatever reason)the shadow darker and heads down. At this time (11/04) the sun is shining brightlyand the shadow stretches out long and friendlybefore us. The stock market is going up andeveryone is feeling good, but we also know thattomorrow storm clouds may appear making our shadowseem to be a monster black image that hides thepotholes in our path. When that occurs we must be ready to put on ourraincoat to protect what we carry through life.One of the most important is the money we have putaside for the time we wish to depart the path, sitby the road and contemplate all the beautifulthings we have brought. That means we must guardagainst losing what we have created and not letthe shadowy rain cloud wash them away. That raincoat for your investments is an exitstrategy for your portfolio. Without a plan toprotect your assets it will be too easy to seemthem washed away. This does not meandiversification which is what brokers want you todo. It means a plan to exit (sell) stock andmutual funds that are going down. This can be donewith a simple percentage stop-loss order for yourstocks and a mental stop loss for funds. Brokers never want you to sell even though theremay be a commission involved because once youmoney is in a money market neither they nor thebrokerage company makes any money. You and onlyyou care about your money so you must protect it.Think about an exit plan now and put it intoplace. Do not become a victim of the dark shadow.

THE,SHADOW,THE,ALCHEMIST,THOMA

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